Stock Analysis

EPTI AB (STO:EPTI) Stock's 29% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

OM:OODA
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the EPTI AB (STO:EPTI) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 86% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, EPTI may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x and even P/S higher than 12x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for EPTI

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:EPTI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2023

How Has EPTI Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for EPTI as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for EPTI, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is EPTI's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, EPTI would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 110% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 52% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that EPTI's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On EPTI's P/S

EPTI's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Capital Markets companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of EPTI revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for EPTI (3 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.