Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Kindred Group plc (STO:KIND SDB) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Kindred Group
What Is Kindred Group's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Kindred Group had UK£134.8m of debt in September 2020, down from UK£172.2m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has UK£207.8m in cash, leading to a UK£73.0m net cash position.
How Strong Is Kindred Group's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kindred Group had liabilities of UK£334.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£188.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£207.8m as well as receivables valued at UK£91.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£222.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Kindred Group has a market capitalization of UK£1.48b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kindred Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Kindred Group has boosted its EBIT by 36%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kindred Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Kindred Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Kindred Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 100% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing up
Although Kindred Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£73.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£194m, being 100% of its EBIT. So is Kindred Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Kindred Group has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About OM:KIND SDB
Kindred Group
Operates an online gambling business in Europe, North America, and Australia.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
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