Stock Analysis

Axfood's (STO:AXFO) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

OM:AXFO
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The board of Axfood AB (publ) (STO:AXFO) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of SEK4.00 on the 27th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 3.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

View our latest analysis for Axfood

Axfood's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before this announcement, Axfood was paying out 74% of earnings, but a comparatively small 53% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 11.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 71% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
OM:AXFO Historic Dividend March 25th 2023

Axfood Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from SEK3.00 total annually to SEK8.15. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.

We Could See Axfood's Dividend Growing

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Axfood has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 9.4% per annum. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.

We Really Like Axfood's Dividend

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Axfood that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.