Stock Analysis

Axfood's (STO:AXFO) Dividend Will Be SEK4.25

OM:AXFO
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The board of Axfood AB (publ) (STO:AXFO) has announced that it will pay a dividend of SEK4.25 per share on the 25th of September. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Axfood

Axfood's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before this announcement, Axfood was paying out 75% of earnings, but a comparatively small 35% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 24.0%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 65% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
OM:AXFO Historic Dividend June 13th 2024

Axfood Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The annual payment during the last 10 years was SEK3.75 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was SEK8.50. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.5% over that duration. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Axfood has impressed us by growing EPS at 8.6% per year over the past five years. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.

In Summary

In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. With a reasonable track record and good earnings coverage, the payments look sustainable. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 5 analysts we track are forecasting for Axfood for free with public analyst estimates for the company. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.