Stock Analysis

Strax AB (publ) (STO:STRAX) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 30%

OM:STRAX
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Strax AB (publ) (STO:STRAX) shares have retraced a considerable 30% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 18% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Strax's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -1.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 35x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Strax hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Strax

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:STRAX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 29th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Strax's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Strax's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Strax would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 658%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 57% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Strax's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Strax's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Strax currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Strax (3 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.