There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Nobia (STO:NOBI), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Nobia is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.065 = kr564m ÷ (kr13b - kr4.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Thus, Nobia has an ROCE of 6.5%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 6.5%.
See our latest analysis for Nobia
In the above chart we have measured Nobia's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Nobia here for free.
So How Is Nobia's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Nobia's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.5% from 27% five years ago. However it looks like Nobia might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
The Bottom Line On Nobia's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Nobia's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 62% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Nobia has the makings of a multi-bagger.
One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Nobia (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:NOBI
Nobia
Engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of kitchen solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, Netherlands, Austria, Iceland, and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.