Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Saxlund Group AB (publ) (STO:SAXG) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Saxlund Group
What Is Saxlund Group's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Saxlund Group had kr16.1m of debt in September 2021, down from kr64.8m, one year before. However, it also had kr12.8m in cash, and so its net debt is kr3.28m.
A Look At Saxlund Group's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Saxlund Group had liabilities of kr124.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr17.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had kr12.8m in cash and kr50.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr78.8m.
This deficit isn't so bad because Saxlund Group is worth kr274.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Carrying virtually no net debt, Saxlund Group has a very light debt load indeed. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Saxlund Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Saxlund Group reported revenue of kr241m, which is a gain of 37%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Saxlund Group still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at kr8.5m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through kr33m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Saxlund Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SAXG
Saxlund Group
An environmental technology group, develops, manufactures, and services plants and equipment for the production of environmental-friendly and resource-efficient energy.
Flawless balance sheet slight.