Loomis AB (publ)'s (STO:LOOMIS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 22x and even P/E's above 41x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Loomis hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Loomis
Keen to find out how analysts think Loomis' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Growth For Loomis?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Loomis would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.0%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 99% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 23% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 22% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Loomis is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Loomis currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Loomis that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Loomis' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:LOOMIS
Loomis
Provides solutions for the distribution, payments, handling, storage, and recycling of cash and other valuables.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.