Bravida Holding AB (publ) Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Bravida Holding AB (publ) (STO:BRAV), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its quarterly results last week. Bravida Holding missed analyst forecasts, with revenues of kr6.9b and statutory earnings per share (EPS) of kr1.11, falling short by 4.6% and 7.0% respectively. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Following last week's earnings report, Bravida Holding's five analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be kr28.9b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 22% to kr6.45. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr29.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr6.65 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

View our latest analysis for Bravida Holding

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of kr107, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Bravida Holding's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Bravida Holding at kr112 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr100.00. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.4% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 9.2% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 3.9% per year. It's pretty clear that Bravida Holding's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Bravida Holding. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target held steady at kr107, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Bravida Holding going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It might also be worth considering whether Bravida Holding's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.