Volati AB (publ) Just Missed EPS By 11%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Volati AB (publ) (STO:VOLO), which a week ago released some disappointing third-quarter results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. Volati missed earnings this time around, with kr2.1b revenue coming in 3.9% below what the analysts had modelled. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of kr1.04 also fell short of expectations by 11%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Volati from two analysts is for revenues of kr9.13b in 2026. If met, it would imply a solid 8.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 76% to kr5.71. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of kr9.16b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr5.89 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Volati

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at kr146, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Volati's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 6.9% annualised growth rate until the end of 2026 being well below the historical 9.8% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this to the 9 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Volati is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Volati. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Volati. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have analyst estimates for Volati going out as far as 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Volati , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.