Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Troax Group AB (publ) (STO:TROAX) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Troax Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Troax Group had debt of €83.7m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from €90.2m over a year. However, it also had €28.3m in cash, and so its net debt is €55.4m.
A Look At Troax Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Troax Group had liabilities of €35.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €99.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €28.3m in cash and €50.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €56.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Troax Group has a market capitalization of €1.72b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Troax Group's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 46.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Troax Group grew its EBIT by 3.6% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Troax Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Troax Group recorded free cash flow of 50% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Troax Group's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Troax Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Troax Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About OM:TROAX
Troax Group
Through its subsidiaries, produces and sells mesh panels in the Nordic region, the United Kingdom, North America, Continental Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.