Stock Analysis

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Systemair AB (publ) (STO:SYSR)?

OM:SYSR
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While Systemair AB (publ) (STO:SYSR) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the OM. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Systemair’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Systemair

Is Systemair Still Cheap?

The stock is currently trading at kr78.50 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 25% compared to our intrinsic value of SEK62.61. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Systemair’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Systemair look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:SYSR Earnings and Revenue Growth May 22nd 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Systemair, at least in the near future.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? If you believe SYSR should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SYSR for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Systemair (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.