Stock Analysis
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that SolTech Energy Sweden AB (publ) (STO:SOLT) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for SolTech Energy Sweden
What Is SolTech Energy Sweden's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 SolTech Energy Sweden had kr241.9m of debt, an increase on kr165.2m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr189.9m, its net debt is less, at about kr52.1m.
How Healthy Is SolTech Energy Sweden's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that SolTech Energy Sweden had liabilities of kr1.13b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr402.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr189.9m as well as receivables valued at kr557.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr787.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the kr407.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, SolTech Energy Sweden would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
SolTech Energy Sweden has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.57 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.2 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, SolTech Energy Sweden made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of kr55m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SolTech Energy Sweden will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, SolTech Energy Sweden saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, SolTech Energy Sweden's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think SolTech Energy Sweden has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with SolTech Energy Sweden (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SOLT
SolTech Energy Sweden
Develops, sells, and installs energy and solar cell solutions in Sweden and China.