Stock Analysis

SinterCast (STO:SINT) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At SEK2.75

OM:SINT
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SinterCast AB (publ) (STO:SINT) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 15th of November to SEK2.75. This makes the dividend yield 5.8%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for SinterCast

SinterCast's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was higher than its profits, and made up 93% of cash flows. The company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but this could indicate that growth opportunities are few and far between.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 114.2%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 67% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
OM:SINT Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SEK1.00 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of SEK5.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings have grown at around 4.1% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. The earnings growth is anaemic, and the company is paying out 113% of its profit. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.

SinterCast's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think SinterCast's payments are rock solid. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for SinterCast (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is SinterCast not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.