With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.5x Saab AB (publ) (STO:SAAB B) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios under 21x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Saab certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Saab
Is There Enough Growth For Saab?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Saab's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 36% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 144% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Saab's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Saab's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Saab maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Saab has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Saab. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SAAB B
Saab
Provides products, services, and solutions for military defense, aviation, and civil security markets Internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.
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