NCC AB (publ)'s (STO:NCC B) investors are due to receive a payment of SEK4.00 per share on 12th of November. This will take the annual payment to 4.7% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Check out our latest analysis for NCC
NCC's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last dividend, NCC is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 104% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 2.3%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 51% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from SEK12.00 total annually to SEK8.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 4.0% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. NCC has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 18% per annum. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.
Our Thoughts On NCC's Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think NCC will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 4 warning signs for NCC that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About OM:NCC B
NCC
Operates as a construction company in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.