The board of NCC AB (publ) (STO:NCC B) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 12th of November, with investors receiving SEK4.00 per share. This makes the dividend yield 5.8%, which is above the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for NCC
NCC's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, NCC's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 1.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 54% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was SEK12.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was SEK8.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 4.0% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. NCC has impressed us by growing EPS at 25% per year over the past five years. The company's earnings per share has grown rapidly in recent years, and it has a good balance between reinvesting and paying dividends to shareholders, so we think that NCC could prove to be a strong dividend payer.
Our Thoughts On NCC's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think NCC's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for NCC that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About OM:NCC B
NCC
Operates as a construction company in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.