HAKI Safety AB (publ) (STO:HAKI B) will pay a dividend of SEK0.45 on the 4th of November. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.6%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Check out our latest analysis for HAKI Safety
HAKI Safety's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, HAKI Safety's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 39% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 138.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 35% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
HAKI Safety's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
It's comforting to see that HAKI Safety has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 6 years was SEK0.50 in 2018, and the most recent fiscal year payment was SEK0.90. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. HAKI Safety has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 10% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
In Summary
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, HAKI Safety has 5 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about. Is HAKI Safety not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About OM:HAKI B
HAKI Safety
Offers scaffolding systems and services for complex projects in industry, infrastructure, and construction.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.