Stock Analysis

Is CTT Systems AB's (STO:CTT) Latest Stock Performance A Reflection Of Its Financial Health?

OM:CTT
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CTT Systems (STO:CTT) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 29% over the last three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on CTT Systems' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for CTT Systems

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CTT Systems is:

22% = kr49m ÷ kr219m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every SEK1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn SEK0.22 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of CTT Systems' Earnings Growth And 22% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that CTT Systems has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE is quite impressive. As a result, CTT Systems' exceptional 25% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

As a next step, we compared CTT Systems' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 8.6%.

past-earnings-growth
OM:CTT Past Earnings Growth January 24th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is CTT Systems fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is CTT Systems Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

CTT Systems' significant three-year median payout ratio of 65% (where it is retaining only 35% of its income) suggests that the company has been able to achieve a high growth in earnings despite returning most of its income to shareholders.

Moreover, CTT Systems is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of six years of paying a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 70% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that CTT Systems' future ROE will rise to 33% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with CTT Systems' performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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