David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies CTT Systems AB (STO:CTT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CTT Systems
What Is CTT Systems's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 CTT Systems had kr36.9m of debt, an increase on kr32.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr21.6m, its net debt is less, at about kr15.3m.
How Strong Is CTT Systems' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CTT Systems had liabilities of kr45.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr41.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr21.6m as well as receivables valued at kr53.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr11.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This state of affairs indicates that CTT Systems' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the kr2.15b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, CTT Systems has a very light debt load indeed.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
CTT Systems has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.38. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. It is just as well that CTT Systems's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 69% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CTT Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, CTT Systems's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Based on what we've seen CTT Systems is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about CTT Systems's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for CTT Systems (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About OM:CTT
CTT Systems
Engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of humidity control systems for aircraft in Sweden, Denmark, France, the United States, and internationally.
Exceptional growth potential with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.