Stock Analysis

Further Upside For Concejo AB (publ) (STO:CNCJO B) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% Bounce

OM:CNCJO B
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Despite an already strong run, Concejo AB (publ) (STO:CNCJO B) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 55% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Concejo may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Concejo

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:CNCJO B Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024

How Concejo Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Concejo has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Concejo will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Concejo would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 109% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 0.5% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Concejo's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Concejo's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Concejo revealed that despite growing revenue over the medium-term in a shrinking industry, the P/S doesn't reflect this as it's lower than the industry average. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. The most obvious risk is that its revenue trajectory may not keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. While the chance of the share price dropping sharply is fairly remote, investors do seem to be anticipating future revenue instability.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Concejo.

If you're unsure about the strength of Concejo's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.