Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Concejo AB (publ)'s (STO:CNCJO B) Performance Completely

Published
OM:CNCJO B

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x Concejo AB (publ) (STO:CNCJO B) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Machinery companies in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Concejo

OM:CNCJO B Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 25th 2024

How Concejo Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Concejo has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Concejo, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Concejo's Revenue Growth Trending?

Concejo's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 35% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 132% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 3.3% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Concejo's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Concejo's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see Concejo currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Concejo, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.