Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Concejo AB (publ)'s (STO:CNCJO B) Share Price

OM:CNCJO B
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Concejo AB (publ) (STO:CNCJO B) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Machinery companies in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Concejo

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:CNCJO B Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 17th 2024

How Concejo Has Been Performing

Concejo certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Concejo will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Concejo?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Concejo would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 70% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 90% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 1.4% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.

With this information, we find it very odd that Concejo is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Concejo's P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Upon analysing the past data, we see it is unexpected that Concejo is currently trading at a lower P/S than the rest of the industry given that its revenue growth in the past three-year years is exceeding expectations in a challenging industry. One assumption would be that there are some underlying risks to revenue that are keeping the P/S from rising to match the its strong performance. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to stay its recent course and swim against the current of the broader industry turmoil. While the chance of the share price dropping sharply is fairly remote, investors do seem to be anticipating future revenue instability.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Concejo that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Concejo's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Concejo is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.