Stock Analysis

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Bergman & Beving AB (publ) (STO:BERG B) Price Target To kr301

OM:BERG B
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It's been a good week for Bergman & Beving AB (publ) (STO:BERG B) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 8.2% to kr318. The result was positive overall - although revenues of kr1.3b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Bergman & Beving surprised by delivering a statutory profit of kr1.95 per share, modestly greater than expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Bergman & Beving after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Bergman & Beving

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OM:BERG B Earnings and Revenue Growth July 19th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Bergman & Beving's three analysts is for revenues of kr4.97b in 2025. This reflects a reasonable 4.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to grow 16% to kr8.63. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of kr4.98b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr8.59 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 12% to kr301. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Bergman & Beving analyst has a price target of kr315 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr275. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Bergman & Beving's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 5.9% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Bergman & Beving is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Bergman & Beving analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Bergman & Beving you should know about.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bergman & Beving is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bergman & Beving is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com