Stock Analysis

Azelio (STO:AZELIO) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

OM:AZELIO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Azelio AB (publ) (STO:AZELIO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Azelio

How Much Debt Does Azelio Carry?

As you can see below, Azelio had kr22.6m of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has kr617.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has kr595.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:AZELIO Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2021

How Healthy Is Azelio's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Azelio had liabilities of kr143.0m due within a year, and liabilities of kr36.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr617.6m in cash and kr8.35m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast kr446.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Azelio has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Azelio has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Azelio's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Azelio reported revenue of kr149m, which is a gain of 16%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

So How Risky Is Azelio?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that Azelio had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through kr376m of cash and made a loss of kr306m. However, it has net cash of kr595.0m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Azelio , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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