Let's talk about the popular Atlas Copco AB (STO:ATCO A). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the OM over the last few months. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Atlas Copco’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
See our latest analysis for Atlas Copco
What Is Atlas Copco Worth?
Atlas Copco appears to be overvalued by 37% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at kr124 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of SEK90.86. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Atlas Copco’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Atlas Copco generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Atlas Copco's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? ATCO A’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe ATCO A should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ATCO A for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ATCO A, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Atlas Copco, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:ATCO A
Atlas Copco
Provides compressed air and gas, vacuum, energy, dewatering and industrial pumps, industrial power tools, and assembly and machine vision solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.
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