Alligo AB (publ) Just Missed EPS By 12%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that Alligo AB (publ) (STO:ALLIGO B) released its full-year result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.6% to kr133 in the past week. It was not a great result overall. While revenues of kr9.3b were in line with analyst predictions, earnings were less than expected, missing statutory estimates by 12% to hit kr5.47 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Alligo after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Alligo

Following the latest results, Alligo's twin analysts are now forecasting revenues of kr10.1b in 2025. This would be a notable 8.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 79% to kr9.80. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of kr10.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr10.50 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at kr164, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 8.7% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.7% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.1% per year. So although Alligo is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Alligo that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.