Stock Analysis

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Envirologic (NGM:ENVI B)

NGM:ENVI B
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Following the solid earnings report from Envirologic AB (publ) (NGM:ENVI B), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. However, we think that shareholders should be cautious as we found some worrying factors underlying the profit.

See our latest analysis for Envirologic

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NGM:ENVI B Earnings and Revenue History February 22nd 2025

Zooming In On Envirologic's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2024, Envirologic had an accrual ratio of 0.74. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of kr3.2m despite its profit of kr11.1m, mentioned above. Unfortunately, we don't have data on Envirologic's free cash flow for the prior year; that's not necessarily a bad thing, though we do generally prefer to be able to see a bit of a company's history.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Envirologic.

Our Take On Envirologic's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Envirologic's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Envirologic's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 9.7% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Envirologic (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Envirologic's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Envirologic might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.