Stock Analysis

Do TF Bank's (STO:TFBANK) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

OM:TFBANK
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like TF Bank (STO:TFBANK), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

View our latest analysis for TF Bank

How Quickly Is TF Bank Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. TF Bank managed to grow EPS by 13% per year, over three years. That's a pretty good rate, if the company can sustain it.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. I note that TF Bank's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. TF Bank maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 32% to kr795m. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:TFBANK Earnings and Revenue History April 9th 2022

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for TF Bank's future profits.

Are TF Bank Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

Any way you look at it TF Bank shareholders can gain quiet confidence from the fact that insiders shelled out kr5.8m to buy stock, over the last year. When you contrast that with the complete lack of sales, it's easy for shareholders to brim with joyful expectancy. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by CFO, Deputy CEO & Head of Investor Relations Mikael Meomuttel for kr2.3m worth of shares, at about kr230 per share.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for TF Bank bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. To be specific, they have kr230m worth of shares. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Those holdings account for over 5.4% of the company; visible skin in the game.

Should You Add TF Bank To Your Watchlist?

One important encouraging feature of TF Bank is that it is growing profits. On top of that, we've seen insiders buying shares even though they already own plenty. To me, that all makes it well worth a spot on your watchlist, as well as continuing research. While we've looked at the quality of the earnings, we haven't yet done any work to value the stock. So if you like to buy cheap, you may want to check if TF Bank is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But TF Bank isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TF Bank might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.