Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Swedbank (STO:SWED A) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

OM:SWED A
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Swedbank (STO:SWED A). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

View our latest analysis for Swedbank

How Fast Is Swedbank Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. It certainly is nice to see that Swedbank has managed to grow EPS by 19% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Not all of Swedbank's revenue this year is revenue from operations, so keep in mind the revenue and margin numbers used in this article might not be the best representation of the underlying business. EBIT margins for Swedbank remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 16% to kr73b. That's encouraging news for the company!

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:SWED A Earnings and Revenue History August 15th 2024

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Swedbank's forecast profits?

Are Swedbank Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

The good news is that Swedbank insiders spent a whopping kr20m on stock in just one year, without so much as a single sale. Knowing this, Swedbank will have have all eyes on them in anticipation for the what could happen in the near future. We also note that it was the Director, Goran Bengtsson, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying kr18m for shares at about kr179 each.

It's commendable to see that insiders have been buying shares in Swedbank, but there is more evidence of shareholder friendly management. To be specific, the CEO is paid modestly when compared to company peers of the same size. For companies with market capitalisations over kr84b, like Swedbank, the median CEO pay is around kr32m.

The Swedbank CEO received kr18m in compensation for the year ending December 2023. That seems pretty reasonable, especially given it's below the median for similar sized companies. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Should You Add Swedbank To Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Swedbank's strong EPS growth. But wait, it gets better. We have seen insider buying and the executive pay seems on the modest side of things. On balance the message seems to be that this stock is worth looking at, at least for a while. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Swedbank (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Keen growth investors love to see insider activity. Thankfully, Swedbank isn't the only one. You can see a a curated list of Swedish companies which have exhibited consistent growth accompanied by high insider ownership.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.