Elm Company's (TADAWUL:7203) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Saudi Arabia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 25x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Elm has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Elm
Keen to find out how analysts think Elm's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Elm?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Elm's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 99% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 23% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 14% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Elm's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Elm's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Elm with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Elm. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Elm might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SASE:7203
Elm
Provides ready-made and customized digital solutions in Saudi Arabia.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.