Elm Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 7203 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

7203 (SAR1024.2) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (SAR520.52)

Is 7203 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7203 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow

Simply Wall St

ر.س520.52

Fair Value

96.8% overvalued

Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 7203 (SAR1024.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR520.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7203 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7203?

Key metric: As 7203 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7203. This is calculated by dividing 7203's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7203's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	43.6x
Earnings	ر.س1.83b
Market Cap	ر.س79.59b

7203 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	10.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	41.2x
PEG Ratio	2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7203's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7203 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	33.1x
7202 Arabian Internet and Communication Services	23.2x	6.9%	ر.س36.7b
7200 Al Moammar Information Systems	31.9x	n/a	ر.س4.0b
7204 Perfect Presentation for Commercial Services	23.5x	n/a	ر.س3.8b
9534 Saudi Azm for Communication and Information Technology	53.8x	n/a	ر.س1.7b
7203 Elm	43.6x	18.8%	ر.س79.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7203 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.6x) compared to the peer average (33.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7203's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian IT Industry?

7 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

7 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7203 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.6x) compared to the Asian IT industry average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7203's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7203 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	43.6x
Fair PE Ratio	34.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7203 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7203 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	ر.س1,024.20	ر.س1,248.38 +21.9%	12.6%	ر.س1,475.00	ر.س1,060.00	n/a	8
Apr ’26	ر.س970.00	ر.س1,221.00 +25.9%	16.3%	ر.س1,500.00	ر.س923.00	n/a	10
Mar ’26	ر.س1,064.80	ر.س1,242.56 +16.7%	17.0%	ر.س1,500.00	ر.س923.00	n/a	9
Feb ’26	ر.س1,165.00	ر.س1,233.67 +5.9%	16.3%	ر.س1,490.00	ر.س923.00	n/a	9
Jan ’26	ر.س1,116.40	ر.س1,106.89 -0.9%	9.8%	ر.س1,320.00	ر.س923.00	n/a	9
Dec ’25	ر.س1,090.00	ر.س1,029.78 -5.5%	16.8%	ر.س1,320.00	ر.س700.00	n/a	9
Nov ’25	ر.س1,022.60	ر.س1,022.00 -0.06%	16.5%	ر.س1,320.00	ر.س700.00	n/a	9
Oct ’25	ر.س1,165.00	ر.س999.76 -14.2%	16.3%	ر.س1,320.00	ر.س699.80	n/a	9
Sep ’25	ر.س994.00	ر.س952.73 -4.2%	16.5%	ر.س1,250.00	ر.س699.80	n/a	8
Aug ’25	ر.س903.40	ر.س939.86 +4.0%	15.4%	ر.س1,180.00	ر.س700.00	n/a	7
Jul ’25	ر.س857.00	ر.س899.41 +4.9%	20.7%	ر.س1,180.00	ر.س566.50	n/a	8
Jun ’25	ر.س796.80	ر.س877.90 +10.2%	21.6%	ر.س1,180.00	ر.س566.50	n/a	7
May ’25	ر.س909.00	ر.س880.79 -3.1%	21.4%	ر.س1,180.00	ر.س566.50	n/a	7
Apr ’25	ر.س959.00	ر.س880.79 -8.2%	21.4%	ر.س1,180.00	ر.س566.50	ر.س970.00	7
Mar ’25	ر.س1,057.00	ر.س834.07 -21.1%	22.8%	ر.س1,180.00	ر.س566.50	ر.س1,064.80	7
Feb ’25	ر.س928.80	ر.س776.42 -16.4%	17.7%	ر.س971.00	ر.س566.50	ر.س1,165.00	6
Jan ’25	ر.س815.60	ر.س737.58 -9.6%	13.3%	ر.س888.00	ر.س566.50	ر.س1,116.40	6
Dec ’24	ر.س744.60	ر.س758.84 +1.9%	11.1%	ر.س888.00	ر.س635.20	ر.س1,090.00	5
Nov ’24	ر.س681.00	ر.س768.44 +12.8%	13.4%	ر.س946.00	ر.س635.20	ر.س1,022.60	5
Oct ’24	ر.س794.20	ر.س708.20 -10.8%	8.6%	ر.س789.00	ر.س635.00	ر.س1,165.00	5
Sep ’24	ر.س850.00	ر.س708.20 -16.7%	8.6%	ر.س789.00	ر.س635.00	ر.س994.00	5
Aug ’24	ر.س681.40	ر.س589.25 -13.5%	8.9%	ر.س645.00	ر.س522.00	ر.س903.40	4
Jul ’24	n/a	ر.س550.67 0%	4.0%	ر.س575.00	ر.س522.00	ر.س857.00	3
Jun ’24	ر.س443.60	ر.س535.33 +20.7%	2.7%	ر.س555.00	ر.س522.00	ر.س796.80	3
May ’24	ر.س436.20	ر.س459.97 +5.4%	8.2%	ر.س490.00	ر.س406.90	ر.س909.00	3
Apr ’24	ر.س441.80	ر.س459.97 +4.1%	8.2%	ر.س490.00	ر.س406.90	ر.س959.00	3

AnalystConsensusTarget

Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts

ر.س1.25k

Fair Value

18.0% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/04/24 11:10
End of Day Share Price	2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Elm Company is covered by 10 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jassim Al-Jubran	Aljazira Capital Company
Danish Kazmi	Al Rajhi Capital
Ziad Itani	Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.