Elm Company's (TADAWUL:7203) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Saudi Arabia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 21x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Elm as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Elm
How Is Elm's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Elm's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 43%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 213% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Elm is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Elm's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Elm's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Elm is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SASE:7203
Elm
Provides information security services for government entities, individuals, and private sector companies in Saudi Arabia.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.
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