Stock Analysis

Alandalus Property Company's (TADAWUL:4320) Financial Prospects Don't Look Very Positive: Could It Mean A Stock Price Drop In The Future?

SASE:4320
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Alandalus Property's (TADAWUL:4320) stock is up by 6.2% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak financials, as long-term fundamentals ultimately dictate market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Alandalus Property's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Alandalus Property

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Alandalus Property is:

2.1% = ر.س26m ÷ ر.س1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every SAR1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SAR0.02.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Alandalus Property's Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE

As you can see, Alandalus Property's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 3.2%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 19% seen by Alandalus Property was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 14% in the same period, we still found Alandalus Property's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:4320 Past Earnings Growth January 18th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Alandalus Property is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Alandalus Property Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Alandalus Property's very high three-year median payout ratio of 146% over the last three years suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning and this explains the company's shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend beyond their means is usually not viable over the long term. To know the 5 risks we have identified for Alandalus Property visit our risks dashboard for free.

In addition, Alandalus Property has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

On the whole, Alandalus Property's performance is quite a big let-down. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Alandalus Property's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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