Arabian Centres Valuation
Is 4321 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4321 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4321 (SAR25.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR24.74)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4321 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4321?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4321's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س11.94b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 10.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 18.8x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4321's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 38.1x | ||
4150 Arriyadh Development | 14.8x | n/a | ر.س4.0b |
4320 Alandalus Property | 68x | n/a | ر.س2.5b |
9519 Banan Real Estate | 46.6x | n/a | ر.س1.2b |
4300 Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development | 23.1x | n/a | ر.س14.1b |
4321 Arabian Centres | 7.9x | -10.8% | ر.س11.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4321 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (38.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4321's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Real Estate Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4321 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the Asian Real Estate industry average (14.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4321's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 7.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4321's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س25.15 | ر.س22.27 -11.5% | 4.4% | ر.س23.60 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س24.80 | ر.س22.27 -10.2% | 4.4% | ر.س23.60 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س21.22 | ر.س23.45 +10.5% | 9.4% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س20.20 | ر.س23.88 +18.2% | 9.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س20.72 | ر.س23.88 +15.3% | 9.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س19.86 | ر.س24.02 +20.9% | 9.3% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س20.14 | ر.س24.02 +19.2% | 9.3% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س19.68 | ر.س24.02 +22.0% | 9.3% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س22.40 | ر.س23.42 +4.6% | 8.4% | ر.س26.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س22.94 | ر.س23.41 +2.1% | 8.4% | ر.س26.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س23.16 0% | 8.5% | ر.س26.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س20.98 | ر.س23.16 +10.4% | 8.5% | ر.س26.00 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’24 | ر.س21.70 | ر.س23.06 +6.3% | 8.0% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.31 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س20.38 | ر.س23.00 +12.9% | 8.2% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س24.80 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س19.60 | ر.س23.45 +19.7% | 8.2% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.31 | ر.س21.22 | 6 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س20.00 | ر.س23.57 +17.8% | 7.1% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.40 | ر.س20.20 | 6 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س19.04 | ر.س23.57 +23.8% | 7.1% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.40 | ر.س20.72 | 6 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س20.00 | ر.س23.57 +17.8% | 7.1% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.40 | ر.س19.86 | 6 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س19.16 | ر.س23.70 +23.7% | 7.9% | ر.س25.60 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س20.14 | 6 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س19.40 | ر.س23.32 +20.2% | 7.8% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س19.68 | 5 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س19.90 | ر.س23.32 +17.2% | 7.8% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س22.40 | 5 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س20.20 | ر.س23.62 +16.9% | 6.6% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.90 | ر.س22.94 | 5 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س19.38 | ر.س23.54 +21.5% | 6.9% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.90 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س20.88 | ر.س23.54 +12.7% | 6.9% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.90 | ر.س20.98 | 5 |
| May ’23 | ر.س22.12 | ر.س23.54 +6.4% | 6.9% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.90 | ر.س21.70 | 5 |
| Apr ’23 | ر.س22.10 | ر.س23.54 +6.5% | 6.9% | ر.س25.50 | ر.س21.90 | ر.س20.38 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.