Arriyadh Development Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 4150 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

4150 (SAR27.2) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (SAR2.29)

Is 4150 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4150 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4150 (SAR27.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR2.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4150 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4150?

Key metric: As 4150 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4150. This is calculated by dividing 4150's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4150's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	13.6x
Earnings	ر.س356.10m
Market Cap	ر.س4.84b

4150 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	10.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	19.7x
PEG Ratio	1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4150's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4150 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	34.4x
4321 Arabian Centres	6.8x	5.4%	ر.س9.4b
9519 Banan Real Estate	46.1x	n/a	ر.س1.6b
4322 Retal Urban Development	33.6x	27.1%	ر.س7.7b
4020 Saudi Real Estate	51.2x	62.5%	ر.س9.4b
4150 Arriyadh Development	13.6x	13.8%	ر.س4.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4150 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (34.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4150's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Real Estate Industry?

48 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

48 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4150 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the Asian Real Estate industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4150's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4150 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	13.6x
Fair PE Ratio	18.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4150 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.