Arriyadh Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Arriyadh Development is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.8% and 26% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.6% in 3 years.

Key information

13.8%

Earnings growth rate

4.8%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	18.6%
Revenue growth rate	26.0%
Future return on equity	15.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	27 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Arriyadh Development (TADAWUL:4150)

Nov 05

Benign Growth For Arriyadh Development Co. (TADAWUL:4150) Underpins Its Share Price

Jul 31

Arriyadh Development (TADAWUL:4150) Has Compensated Shareholders With A Respectable 88% Return On Their Investment

Feb 17

Are Arriyadh Development Co.'s (TADAWUL:4150) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?

Jan 05

Investors In Arriyadh Development Co. (TADAWUL:4150) Should Consider This, First

Dec 09

Arriyadh Development (TADAWUL:4150) Has Compensated Shareholders With A Respectable 75% Return On Their Investment

Nov 18

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SASE:4150 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	850	432	39	539	1
12/31/2025	796	459	82	582	1
12/31/2024	377	300	-135	215	1
9/30/2024	357	356	42	90	N/A
6/30/2024	356	358	65	99	N/A
3/31/2024	348	310	143	160	N/A
12/31/2023	339	272	220	226	N/A
9/30/2023	287	161	190	206	N/A
6/30/2023	273	180	153	161	N/A
3/31/2023	267	194	157	165	N/A
12/31/2022	259	300	105	112	N/A
9/30/2022	252	255	88	92	N/A
6/30/2022	250	260	94	99	N/A
3/31/2022	249	346	90	94	N/A
12/31/2021	251	318	141	144	N/A
9/30/2021	252	408	163	165	N/A
6/30/2021	249	393	173	176	N/A
3/31/2021	244	304	182	184	N/A
12/31/2020	238	228	164	166	N/A
9/30/2020	237	154	170	179	N/A
6/30/2020	238	140	168	176	N/A
3/31/2020	245	135	134	178	N/A
12/31/2019	250	143	146	190	N/A
9/30/2019	253	182	128	171	N/A
6/30/2019	263	192	138	180	N/A
3/31/2019	273	195	183	189	N/A
12/31/2018	283	204	191	197	N/A
9/30/2018	341	242	134	144	N/A
6/30/2018	330	238	N/A	160	N/A
3/31/2018	323	230	N/A	256	N/A
12/31/2017	314	222	N/A	289	N/A
9/30/2017	255	172	N/A	473	N/A
6/30/2017	254	164	N/A	457	N/A
3/31/2017	1,226	251	N/A	375	N/A
12/31/2016	1,236	262	N/A	320	N/A
9/30/2016	1,289	310	N/A	219	N/A
6/30/2016	1,337	339	N/A	199	N/A
3/31/2016	398	277	N/A	224	N/A
12/31/2015	425	294	N/A	223	N/A
9/30/2015	364	263	N/A	230	N/A
6/30/2015	309	233	N/A	226	N/A
3/31/2015	276	209	N/A	189	N/A
12/31/2014	251	189	N/A	177	N/A
9/30/2014	257	181	N/A	151	N/A
6/30/2014	263	184	N/A	157	N/A
3/31/2014	264	186	N/A	153	N/A
12/31/2013	356	250	N/A	156	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4150's forecast earnings growth (13.8% per year) is below the savings rate (14.7%).

Earnings vs Market: 4150's earnings (13.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the SA market (6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4150's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4150's revenue (26% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the SA market (-0.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4150's revenue (26% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4150's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 21:46
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Arriyadh Development Co. is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Mohamad Haidar	Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Athmane Benzerroug	Deutsche Bank
Ambereen Jiwani	SICO

Arriyadh Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Arriyadh Development (TADAWUL:4150)

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.11 (vs ر.س0.26 in 3Q 2023)

Upcoming dividend of ر.س0.25 per share

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.52 (vs ر.س0.24 in 2Q 2023)

Benign Growth For Arriyadh Development Co. (TADAWUL:4150) Underpins Its Share Price

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.40 (vs ر.س0.18 in 1Q 2023)

Now 20% undervalued

Arriyadh Development Co. Approves Exceptional Distribution for the Second Half of 2023, Payable on May 14, 2024

Little Excitement Around Arriyadh Development Co.'s (TADAWUL:4150) Earnings

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Arriyadh Development Co. Recommends Special Cash Dividend

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.26 (vs ر.س0.37 in 3Q 2022)

Upcoming dividend of ر.س0.25 per share at 2.5% yield

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.24 (vs ر.س0.32 in 2Q 2022)

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.37 (vs ر.س0.40 in 3Q 2021)

Upcoming dividend of ر.س0.25 per share

Arriyadh Development Co. Announces the Distribution of Cash Dividend for First Half 2022, payable on October 30, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.32 (vs ر.س0.81 in 2Q 2021)

High number of new directors

Arriyadh Development Co. Approves Formation of the Audit Committee

Arriyadh Development Co., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2022

Insufficient new directors

Arriyadh Development Co. Proposes Distribution for the Second Half of the Year 2021

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

We Think Arriyadh Development's (TADAWUL:4150) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

Arriyadh Development Co. Announces the Distribution of Cash Dividend for Second Half of 2021

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ر.س0.40 (vs ر.س0.31 in 3Q 2020)

CEO & Director Ali Bin Al Hassoun has left the company

CEO & Director Ali Bin Al Hassoun has left the company

Upcoming dividend of ر.س1.00 per share

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ر.س0.81 (vs ر.س0.31 in 2Q 2020)

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ر.س0.63 (vs ر.س0.20 in 1Q 2020)

Is Arriyadh Development Co. (TADAWUL:4150) A Good Dividend Stock?

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS ر.س1.28 (vs ر.س0.93 in FY 2019)

Arriyadh Development Company Recommends Cash Dividends to Shareholders for the Second Half of 2020

New 90-day high: ر.س18.68