Stock Analysis

Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance Company's (TADAWUL:8280) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

SASE:8280
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Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance's (TADAWUL:8280) stock is up by a considerable 16% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance is:

1.2% = ر.س4.9m ÷ ر.س413m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SAR1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SAR0.01 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance's Earnings Growth And 1.2% ROE

It is hard to argue that Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 7.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 24% seen by Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 2.8% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:8280 Past Earnings Growth January 26th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Because Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance doesn't pay any dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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