Stock Analysis

Al Hammadi Holding Company Just Recorded A 22% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

SASE:4007
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Al Hammadi Holding Company (TADAWUL:4007) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of ر.س291m, some 2.5% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at ر.س0.49, 22% ahead of expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Al Hammadi Holding

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SASE:4007 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Al Hammadi Holding's eight analysts is for revenues of ر.س1.31b in 2025. This would reflect a meaningful 15% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 4.0% to ر.س1.96 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ر.س1.32b and earnings per share (EPS) of ر.س1.97 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of ر.س53.00, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Al Hammadi Holding analyst has a price target of ر.س61.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ر.س48.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Al Hammadi Holding is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Al Hammadi Holding's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 12% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.7% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Al Hammadi Holding is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Al Hammadi Holding going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Al Hammadi Holding .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.