Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company's (TADAWUL:9515) Shares

SASE:9515
Source: Shutterstock

Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company's (TADAWUL:9515) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Saudi Arabia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 25x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SASE:9515 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Fesh Fash Snack Food Production's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 65%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 35% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Fesh Fash Snack Food Production's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Fesh Fash Snack Food Production (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.