Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. Having said that, after a brief look, Almarai (TADAWUL:2280) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Almarai is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.086 = ر.س2.2b ÷ (ر.س33b - ر.س7.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Thus, Almarai has an ROCE of 8.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Food industry average of 8.1%.
See our latest analysis for Almarai
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Almarai compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Almarai here for free.
What Can We Tell From Almarai's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Almarai's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 11% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Almarai becoming one if things continue as they have.
What We Can Learn From Almarai's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 12% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Like most companies, Almarai does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Almarai isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SASE:2280
Almarai
Operates as an integrated consumer food and beverage company in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries.
Established dividend payer and good value.
