Stock Analysis

Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down The National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL:4030) Stock

SASE:4030
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National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL:4030) has had a rough three months with its share price down 4.7%. We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

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How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia is:

15% = ر.س1.6b ÷ ر.س10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every SAR1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn SAR0.15 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

On the face of it, National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 8.2% which we definitely can't overlook. But then again, seeing that National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia's net income shrunk at a rate of 15% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

That being said, we compared National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 17% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:4030 Past Earnings Growth February 26th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 101% (or a retention ratio of -0.7%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. To know the 3 risks we have identified for National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia. While its ROE is pretty moderate, the company is retaining very little of its profits, meaning very little of its profits are being reinvested into the business. This explains the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. You can do your own research on National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SASE:4030

National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia

The National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia, together with its subsidiaries, purchases, sells, and operates vessels for the transportation of cargo in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.

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