Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Herfy Food Services' (TADAWUL:6002) Soft Earnings

SASE:6002
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The market for Herfy Food Services Company's (TADAWUL:6002) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

View our latest analysis for Herfy Food Services

earnings-and-revenue-history
SASE:6002 Earnings and Revenue History March 11th 2021

A Closer Look At Herfy Food Services' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2020, Herfy Food Services had an accrual ratio of -0.21. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ر.س264m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ر.س52.8m. Herfy Food Services shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Herfy Food Services' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Herfy Food Services' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Herfy Food Services' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Herfy Food Services.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Herfy Food Services' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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