Herfy Food Services Company

SASE:6002 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س2.1b

Herfy Food Services Valuation

Is 6002 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6002 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6002 (SAR32.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR13.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6002 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6002?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6002 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.1x
PEG Ratio5.8x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6002's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6002 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
6014 Alamar Foods
2.3x11.4%ر.س2.3b
9520 Shatirah House Restaurant
1.6xn/aر.س409.5m
6013 Development Works Food
4.2xn/aر.س380.4m
9526 Jahez International Company for Information Systems Technology
3.9x18.3%ر.س7.0b
6002 Herfy Food Services
1.8x5.8%ر.س2.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6002 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6002's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6002 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the Asian Hospitality industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6002's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6002 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 6002 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6002 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س32.10
ر.س30.96
-3.5%
10.4%ر.س36.31ر.س26.50n/a5
Apr ’25ر.س33.15
ر.س30.96
-6.6%
10.4%ر.س36.31ر.س26.50n/a5
Mar ’25ر.س36.60
ر.س31.56
-13.8%
13.5%ر.س39.31ر.س26.50n/a5
Feb ’25ر.س31.60
ر.س31.56
-0.1%
13.5%ر.س39.31ر.س26.50n/a5
Jan ’25ر.س32.95
ر.س30.63
-7.1%
11.2%ر.س36.00ر.س26.50n/a4
Dec ’24ر.س31.10
ر.س31.00
-0.3%
9.7%ر.س36.00ر.س28.00n/a4
Nov ’24ر.س30.25
ر.س31.50
+4.1%
9.4%ر.س36.00ر.س28.00n/a4
Oct ’24ر.س32.75
ر.س31.50
-3.8%
9.4%ر.س36.00ر.س28.00n/a4
Sep ’24ر.س34.80
ر.س31.50
-9.5%
9.4%ر.س36.00ر.س28.00n/a4
Aug ’24ر.س36.90
ر.س31.88
-13.6%
9.3%ر.س36.00ر.س28.00n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س31.88
0%
9.3%ر.س36.00ر.س28.00n/a4
Jun ’24ر.س35.25
ر.س36.88
+4.6%
18.2%ر.س48.00ر.س30.50n/a4
May ’24ر.س35.25
ر.س37.20
+5.5%
16.6%ر.س48.00ر.س30.00n/a5
Apr ’24ر.س32.70
ر.س37.30
+14.1%
16.3%ر.س48.00ر.س30.50ر.س33.155
Mar ’24ر.س34.40
ر.س37.28
+8.4%
16.3%ر.س48.00ر.س30.40ر.س36.605
Feb ’24ر.س36.10
ر.س37.28
+3.3%
16.3%ر.س48.00ر.س30.40ر.س31.605
Jan ’24ر.س35.15
ر.س39.28
+11.7%
17.6%ر.س48.00ر.س30.40ر.س32.955
Dec ’23ر.س35.85
ر.س39.30
+9.6%
17.5%ر.س48.00ر.س30.50ر.س31.105
Nov ’23ر.س37.75
ر.س42.50
+12.6%
16.3%ر.س49.00ر.س30.50ر.س30.255
Oct ’23ر.س38.80
ر.س48.94
+26.1%
3.9%ر.س51.70ر.س46.00ر.س32.755
Sep ’23ر.س42.90
ر.س48.94
+14.1%
3.9%ر.س51.70ر.س46.00ر.س34.805
Aug ’23ر.س45.30
ر.س54.30
+19.9%
19.1%ر.س75.00ر.س48.00ر.س36.905
Jul ’23ر.س42.55
ر.س57.60
+35.4%
16.7%ر.س75.00ر.س48.00n/a5
Jun ’23ر.س49.20
ر.س62.68
+27.4%
15.9%ر.س75.40ر.س50.00ر.س35.255
May ’23ر.س56.00
ر.س64.20
+14.6%
12.7%ر.س75.00ر.س55.00ر.س35.255
Apr ’23ر.س56.40
ر.س63.12
+11.9%
15.0%ر.س75.00ر.س50.00ر.س32.705

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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