Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Published A Bright New Outlook For National Company for Learning and Education's (TADAWUL:4291)

SASE:4291
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National Company for Learning and Education (TADAWUL:4291) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. Consensus estimates suggest investors could expect greatly increased statutory revenues and earnings per share, with analysts modelling a real improvement in business performance. Investor sentiment seems to be improving too, with the share price up 9.0% to ر.س81.00 over the past 7 days. It will be interesting to see if this latest upgrade is enough to kickstart further buying interest in the stock.

After the upgrade, the dual analysts covering National Company for Learning and Education are now predicting revenues of ر.س398m in 2023. If met, this would reflect a solid 14% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 55% to ر.س2.83. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ر.س354m and earnings per share (EPS) of ر.س1.92 in 2023. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

View our latest analysis for National Company for Learning and Education

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SASE:4291 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 17th 2023

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for National Company for Learning and Education 20% to ر.س77.00 on the back of these upgrades. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values National Company for Learning and Education at ر.س84.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ر.س70.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or that the analysts have a clear view on its prospects.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that National Company for Learning and Education's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 19% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2023 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 22% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that National Company for Learning and Education is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. There was also an upgrade to revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. Given that the consensus looks almost universally bullish, with a substantial increase to forecasts and a higher price target, National Company for Learning and Education could be worth investigating further.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for National Company for Learning and Education going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if National Company for Learning and Education might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.