National Company for Learning and Education

SASE:4291 Stock Report

Mkt Cap: ر.س4.9b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

National Company for Learning and Education Valuation

Is 4291 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4291?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4291 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA47.4x
PEG Ratio4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4291's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4291 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.5x
4292 Ataa Educational
58.9x32.3%ر.س2.8b
4290 Al Khaleej Training and Education
50.4xn/aر.س1.5b
6014 Alamar Foods
37.9x28.5%ر.س3.3b
1830 Leejam Sports
22.8x8.2%ر.س6.2b
4291 National Company for Learning and Education
55.2x13.7%ر.س4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.2x) compared to the peer average (42.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4291's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.4%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.4%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.2x) compared to the Asian Consumer Services industry average (17x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4291's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4291 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio55.2x
Fair PE Ratio41.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.1x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4291 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4291 (SAR113) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR32.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4291 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4291 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س113.00
ر.س104.50
-7.5%
17.7%ر.س123.00ر.س86.00n/a2
May ’24ر.س116.80
ر.س85.00
-27.2%
1.2%ر.س86.00ر.س84.00n/a2
Apr ’24ر.س100.00
ر.س83.00
-17.0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00n/a2
Mar ’24ر.س90.20
ر.س83.00
-8.0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00n/a2
Feb ’24ر.س83.00
ر.س83.00
0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00n/a2
Jan ’24ر.س67.50
ر.س64.00
-5.2%
9.4%ر.س70.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Dec ’23ر.س65.80
ر.س63.00
-4.3%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Nov ’23ر.س59.50
ر.س63.00
+5.9%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Oct ’23ر.س62.00
ر.س63.00
+1.6%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Sep ’23ر.س55.90
ر.س63.00
+12.7%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Aug ’23ر.س59.40
ر.س63.00
+6.1%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Jul ’23ر.س59.70
ر.س60.00
+0.5%
3.3%ر.س62.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Jun ’23ر.س58.70
ر.س60.00
+2.2%
3.3%ر.س62.00ر.س58.00ر.س113.002
May ’23ر.س54.20
ر.س60.00
+10.7%
3.3%ر.س62.00ر.س58.00ر.س116.802
Apr ’23ر.س50.60
ر.س60.50
+19.6%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س100.002
Mar ’23ر.س62.90
ر.س60.50
-3.8%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س90.202
Feb ’23ر.س67.20
ر.س60.50
-10.0%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س83.002
Jan ’23ر.س60.00
ر.س60.50
+0.8%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س67.502
Dec ’22ر.س59.30
ر.س60.50
+2.0%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س65.802
Nov ’22ر.س63.10
ر.س60.50
-4.1%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س59.502
Oct ’22ر.س63.60
ر.س60.50
-4.9%
9.1%ر.س66.00ر.س55.00ر.س62.002
Sep ’22ر.س67.50
ر.س52.50
-22.2%
4.8%ر.س55.00ر.س50.00ر.س55.902
Aug ’22ر.س64.70
ر.س52.50
-18.9%
4.8%ر.س55.00ر.س50.00ر.س59.402
Jul ’22ر.س61.10
ر.س47.50
-22.3%
5.3%ر.س50.00ر.س45.00ر.س59.702
Jun ’22ر.س54.30
ر.س47.50
-12.5%
5.3%ر.س50.00ر.س45.00ر.س58.702

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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