National Company for Learning and Education

SASE:4291 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س7.9b

National Company for Learning and Education Valuation

Is 4291 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4291 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ر.س65.91
Fair Value
180.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4291 (SAR184.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR65.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4291 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4291?

Key metric: As 4291 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4291. This is calculated by dividing 4291's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4291's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.2x
Earningsر.س172.18m
Market Capر.س7.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4291's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4291 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.8x
4292 Ataa Educational
52.6x16.5%ر.س3.2b
4290 Al Khaleej Training and Education
58.6xn/aر.س2.3b
9541 Academy of Learning
40.3xn/aر.س892.8m
1810 Seera Holding Group
27.6x25.5%ر.س6.6b
4291 National Company for Learning and Education
46.2x7.9%ر.س7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x) compared to the peer average (44.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4291's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Services Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4291 46.2xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies23PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x) compared to the Asian Consumer Services industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4291's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4291 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.2x
Fair PE Ratio33.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4291 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س184.80
ر.س175.00
-5.3%
8.6%ر.س190.00ر.س160.00n/a2
Feb ’26ر.س182.00
ر.س175.00
-3.8%
8.6%ر.س190.00ر.س160.00n/a2
Jan ’26ر.س203.00
ر.س175.00
-13.8%
8.6%ر.س190.00ر.س160.00n/a2
Dec ’25ر.س227.80
ر.س170.00
-25.4%
11.8%ر.س190.00ر.س150.00n/a2
Nov ’25ر.س219.20
ر.س143.50
-34.5%
4.5%ر.س150.00ر.س137.00n/a2
Oct ’25ر.س220.20
ر.س143.50
-34.8%
4.5%ر.س150.00ر.س137.00n/a2
Sep ’25ر.س216.00
ر.س143.50
-33.6%
4.5%ر.س150.00ر.س137.00n/a2
Aug ’25ر.س184.40
ر.س143.50
-22.2%
4.5%ر.س150.00ر.س137.00n/a2
Jul ’25ر.س159.20
ر.س138.50
-13.0%
1.1%ر.س140.00ر.س137.00n/a2
Jun ’25ر.س158.80
ر.س138.50
-12.8%
1.1%ر.س140.00ر.س137.00n/a2
May ’25ر.س148.80
ر.س138.50
-6.9%
1.1%ر.س140.00ر.س137.00n/a2
Apr ’25ر.س144.40
ر.س118.50
-17.9%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Mar ’25ر.س169.20
ر.س118.50
-30.0%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Feb ’25ر.س147.60
ر.س118.50
-19.7%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00ر.س182.002
Jan ’25ر.س121.40
ر.س111.50
-8.2%
10.3%ر.س123.00ر.س100.00ر.س203.002
Dec ’24ر.س109.20
ر.س107.50
-1.6%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00ر.س227.802
Nov ’24ر.س98.20
ر.س107.50
+9.5%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00ر.س219.202
Oct ’24ر.س96.60
ر.س107.50
+11.3%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00ر.س220.202
Sep ’24ر.س116.00
ر.س107.50
-7.3%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00ر.س216.002
Aug ’24ر.س103.80
ر.س107.50
+3.6%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00ر.س184.402
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س107.50
0%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00ر.س159.202
Jun ’24ر.س113.00
ر.س104.50
-7.5%
17.7%ر.س123.00ر.س86.00ر.س158.802
May ’24ر.س116.80
ر.س85.00
-27.2%
1.2%ر.س86.00ر.س84.00ر.س148.802
Apr ’24ر.س100.00
ر.س83.00
-17.0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00ر.س144.402
Mar ’24ر.س90.20
ر.س83.00
-8.0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00ر.س169.202
Feb ’24ر.س83.00
ر.س83.00
0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00ر.س147.602
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
ر.س175.00
Fair Value
5.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 01:34
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/07/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

National Company for Learning and Education is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Christine KalindjianArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Ankur AgarwalHSBC