Al-Dawaa Medical Services Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 4163 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

4163 (SAR96) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (SAR120.33)

Is 4163 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4163 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4163 (SAR96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR120.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4163 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4163?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 4163. This is calculated by dividing 4163's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 4163's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	ر.س8.16b

4163 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	15.6x
PEG Ratio	1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4163's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4163 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	24.6x
4164 Nahdi Medical	19.9x	8.0%	ر.س17.2b
4161 BinDawood Holding	28.6x	10.1%	ر.س8.2b
4162 Almunajem Foods	22.8x	n/a	ر.س7.4b
4001 Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets	27.2x	11.8%	ر.س10.7b
4163 Al-Dawaa Medical Services	23x	14.1%	ر.س8.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4163 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the peer average (24.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4163's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	17.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	17.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4163 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4163's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4163 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	23.1x
Fair PE Ratio	24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4163 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4163 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	ر.س96.50	ر.س110.32 +14.3%	8.2%	ر.س125.00	ر.س99.71	n/a	6
Sep ’25	ر.س92.40	ر.س110.49 +19.6%	8.4%	ر.س126.00	ر.س99.71	n/a	6
Aug ’25	ر.س87.90	ر.س113.34 +28.9%	9.5%	ر.س130.00	ر.س99.71	n/a	6
Jul ’25	ر.س88.00	ر.س113.34 +28.8%	9.5%	ر.س130.00	ر.س99.71	n/a	6
Jun ’25	ر.س89.90	ر.س114.17 +27.0%	8.6%	ر.س130.00	ر.س99.71	n/a	6
May ’25	ر.س95.80	ر.س116.26 +21.4%	8.1%	ر.س130.00	ر.س101.00	n/a	5
Apr ’25	ر.س94.80	ر.س118.46 +25.0%	6.3%	ر.س130.00	ر.س107.00	n/a	5
Mar ’25	ر.س114.40	ر.س118.46 +3.5%	6.3%	ر.س130.00	ر.س107.00	n/a	5
Feb ’25	ر.س112.20	ر.س118.46 +5.6%	6.3%	ر.س130.00	ر.س107.00	n/a	5
Jan ’25	ر.س106.00	ر.س115.46 +8.9%	4.2%	ر.س120.30	ر.س107.00	n/a	5
Dec ’24	ر.س102.20	ر.س109.46 +7.1%	5.0%	ر.س115.00	ر.س100.30	n/a	5
Nov ’24	ر.س94.90	ر.س106.06 +11.8%	5.4%	ر.س115.00	ر.س100.00	n/a	5
Oct ’24	ر.س97.90	ر.س106.06 +8.3%	5.4%	ر.س115.00	ر.س100.00	n/a	5
Sep ’24	ر.س95.60	ر.س105.06 +9.9%	5.2%	ر.س115.00	ر.س100.00	ر.س92.40	5
Aug ’24	ر.س101.40	ر.س103.46 +2.0%	7.2%	ر.س115.00	ر.س92.00	ر.س87.90	5
Jul ’24	n/a	ر.س99.06 0%	15.4%	ر.س115.00	ر.س70.00	ر.س88.00	5
Jun ’24	ر.س90.00	ر.س93.33 +3.7%	17.7%	ر.س105.00	ر.س70.00	ر.س89.90	3
May ’24	ر.س77.80	ر.س62.00 -20.3%	12.9%	ر.س70.00	ر.س54.00	ر.س95.80	2
Dec ’23	ر.س72.50	ر.س67.00 -7.6%	25.4%	ر.س84.00	ر.س50.00	ر.س102.20	2
Oct ’23	ر.س79.70	ر.س86.00 +7.9%	2.3%	ر.س88.00	ر.س84.00	ر.س97.90	2
Sep ’23	ر.س76.70	ر.س86.00 +12.1%	2.3%	ر.س88.00	ر.س84.00	ر.س95.60	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.