Al-Dawaa Medical Services Company

SASE:4163 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س6.6b

Al-Dawaa Medical Services Valuation

Is 4163 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4163 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ر.س68.28
Fair Value
14.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4163 (SAR78.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR68.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4163 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4163?

Key metric: As 4163 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4163. This is calculated by dividing 4163's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4163's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18x
Earningsر.س370.11m
Market Capر.س6.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4163's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4163 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.8x
4164 Nahdi Medical
18.2x7.3%ر.س14.9b
4161 BinDawood Holding
24.6x8.9%ر.س6.9b
4001 Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets
16x5.7%ر.س8.5b
4162 Almunajem Foods
16.6xn/aر.س5.0b
4163 Al-Dawaa Medical Services
18x11.1%ر.س6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4163 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4163's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4163 18.0xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies35PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4163 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4163's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4163 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4163 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4163 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س78.20
ر.س102.18
+30.7%
7.8%ر.س115.00ر.س90.90n/a6
Mar ’26ر.س73.00
ر.س102.18
+40.0%
7.8%ر.س115.00ر.س90.90n/a6
Feb ’26ر.س79.70
ر.س102.18
+28.2%
7.8%ر.س115.00ر.س90.90n/a6
Jan ’26ر.س78.60
ر.س104.68
+33.2%
8.7%ر.س115.00ر.س90.90n/a6
Dec ’25ر.س78.00
ر.س105.52
+35.3%
8.0%ر.س115.00ر.س90.90n/a6
Nov ’25ر.س88.20
ر.س110.32
+25.1%
8.2%ر.س125.00ر.س99.70n/a6
Oct ’25ر.س95.00
ر.س110.32
+16.1%
8.2%ر.س125.00ر.س99.71n/a6
Sep ’25ر.س92.40
ر.س110.49
+19.6%
8.4%ر.س126.00ر.س99.71n/a6
Aug ’25ر.س87.90
ر.س113.34
+28.9%
9.5%ر.س130.00ر.س99.71n/a6
Jul ’25ر.س88.00
ر.س113.34
+28.8%
9.5%ر.س130.00ر.س99.71n/a6
Jun ’25ر.س89.90
ر.س114.17
+27.0%
8.6%ر.س130.00ر.س99.71n/a6
May ’25ر.س95.80
ر.س116.26
+21.4%
8.1%ر.س130.00ر.س101.00n/a5
Apr ’25ر.س94.80
ر.س118.46
+25.0%
6.3%ر.س130.00ر.س107.00n/a5
Mar ’25ر.س114.40
ر.س118.46
+3.5%
6.3%ر.س130.00ر.س107.00ر.س73.005
Feb ’25ر.س112.20
ر.س118.46
+5.6%
6.3%ر.س130.00ر.س107.00ر.س79.705
Jan ’25ر.س106.00
ر.س115.46
+8.9%
4.2%ر.س120.30ر.س107.00ر.س78.605
Dec ’24ر.س102.20
ر.س109.46
+7.1%
5.0%ر.س115.00ر.س100.30ر.س78.005
Nov ’24ر.س94.90
ر.س106.06
+11.8%
5.4%ر.س115.00ر.س100.00ر.س88.205
Oct ’24ر.س97.90
ر.س106.06
+8.3%
5.4%ر.س115.00ر.س100.00ر.س95.005
Sep ’24ر.س95.60
ر.س105.06
+9.9%
5.2%ر.س115.00ر.س100.00ر.س92.405
Aug ’24ر.س101.40
ر.س103.46
+2.0%
7.2%ر.س115.00ر.س92.00ر.س87.905
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س99.06
0%
15.4%ر.س115.00ر.س70.00ر.س88.005
Jun ’24ر.س90.00
ر.س93.33
+3.7%
17.7%ر.س105.00ر.س70.00ر.س89.903
May ’24ر.س77.80
ر.س62.00
-20.3%
12.9%ر.س70.00ر.س54.00ر.س95.802
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
ر.س102.18
Fair Value
23.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/23 17:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/23 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Al-Dawaa Medical Services Company is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Duaa AlFaddaBofA Global Research
Alia El MehelmyCI Capital Research
Michel SalamehCitigroup Inc