Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company

SASE:4001 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س10.3b

Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Valuation

Is 4001 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4001 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4001 (SAR11.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR10.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4001 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4001?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4001 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.5x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4001's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4001 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
4161 BinDawood Holding
28.5x10.2%ر.س8.1b
4163 Al-Dawaa Medical Services
22x15.2%ر.س7.8b
4162 Almunajem Foods
21.4xn/aر.س6.9b
4164 Nahdi Medical
19.5x8.0%ر.س16.8b
4001 Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets
26.1x11.8%ر.س10.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4001's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.1%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.1%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4001's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4001 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.1x
Fair PE Ratio25.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4001 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س11.40
ر.س12.70
+11.4%
16.7%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a11
Oct ’25ر.س12.00
ر.س12.70
+5.8%
16.7%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a11
Sep ’25ر.س11.60
ر.س13.08
+12.8%
14.9%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a12
Aug ’25ر.س11.70
ر.س13.53
+15.6%
14.6%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a12
Jul ’25ر.س11.34
ر.س13.65
+20.4%
14.0%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a13
Jun ’25ر.س11.24
ر.س14.13
+25.7%
10.6%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a13
May ’25ر.س12.68
ر.س14.16
+11.7%
10.6%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a13
Apr ’25ر.س12.94
ر.س14.09
+8.9%
10.9%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a12
Mar ’25ر.س13.34
ر.س14.07
+5.4%
11.0%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a12
Feb ’25ر.س13.50
ر.س13.70
+1.5%
9.8%ر.س15.10ر.س10.00n/a11
Jan ’25ر.س13.18
ر.س13.63
+3.4%
10.0%ر.س15.10ر.س9.70n/a12
Dec ’24ر.س12.60
ر.س13.72
+8.9%
10.9%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70n/a12
Nov ’24ر.س13.00
ر.س13.62
+4.7%
11.8%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70n/a12
Oct ’24ر.س13.54
ر.س13.62
+0.6%
11.8%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س12.0012
Sep ’24ر.س14.56
ر.س13.58
-6.8%
11.8%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.6012
Aug ’24ر.س14.84
ر.س12.84
-13.5%
14.3%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.7012
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س12.84
0%
14.3%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.3412
Jun ’24ر.س13.70
ر.س12.92
-5.7%
11.9%ر.س14.90ر.س9.70ر.س11.2411
May ’24ر.س14.20
ر.س12.59
-11.4%
12.5%ر.س15.05ر.س8.70ر.س12.6811
Apr ’24ر.س12.80
ر.س12.54
-2.0%
12.4%ر.س15.05ر.س8.70ر.س12.9411
Mar ’24ر.س11.24
ر.س12.39
+10.3%
13.2%ر.س15.00ر.س8.70ر.س13.3411
Feb ’24ر.س10.52
ر.س12.59
+19.7%
13.6%ر.س15.00ر.س8.70ر.س13.5011
Jan ’24ر.س10.48
ر.س12.65
+20.7%
12.9%ر.س15.00ر.س9.00ر.س13.1811
Dec ’23ر.س11.56
ر.س12.87
+11.4%
12.0%ر.س15.05ر.س9.00ر.س12.6010
Nov ’23ر.س11.40
ر.س12.37
+8.6%
11.3%ر.س14.50ر.س9.00ر.س13.0011
Oct ’23ر.س12.34
ر.س12.37
+0.3%
11.3%ر.س14.50ر.س9.00ر.س13.5411

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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