Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Valuation
Is 4001 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4001 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4001 (SAR12.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR16.77)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4001 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4001?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4001's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س11.41b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 20.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4001's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 27.1x | ||
4161 BinDawood Holding | 38.5x | 8.9% | ر.س10.7b |
4163 Al-Dawaa Medical Services | 24.4x | 14.5% | ر.س8.1b |
4162 Almunajem Foods | 25.4x | n/a | ر.س7.2b |
4164 Nahdi Medical | 20.1x | 7.7% | ر.س17.9b |
4001 Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets | 23.5x | 7.7% | ر.س11.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4001 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the peer average (27.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4001's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (17.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4001's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 23.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 28.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4001 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س12.82 | ر.س13.85 +8.0% | 9.3% | ر.س15.10 | ر.س10.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س12.94 | ر.س13.75 +6.3% | 9.4% | ر.س15.10 | ر.س10.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س13.34 | ر.س13.73 +2.9% | 9.5% | ر.س15.10 | ر.س10.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س13.50 | ر.س13.62 +0.9% | 9.5% | ر.س15.10 | ر.س10.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س13.18 | ر.س13.55 +2.8% | 9.7% | ر.س15.10 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س12.60 | ر.س13.64 +8.3% | 10.6% | ر.س16.20 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س13.00 | ر.س13.54 +4.2% | 11.6% | ر.س16.20 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س13.54 | ر.س13.54 +0.01% | 11.6% | ر.س16.20 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س14.56 | ر.س13.58 -6.8% | 11.8% | ر.س16.20 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س14.84 | ر.س12.84 -13.5% | 14.3% | ر.س16.20 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س12.84 0% | 14.3% | ر.س16.20 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س13.70 | ر.س12.92 -5.7% | 11.9% | ر.س14.90 | ر.س9.70 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’24 | ر.س14.20 | ر.س12.59 -11.4% | 12.5% | ر.س15.05 | ر.س8.70 | ر.س12.68 | 11 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س12.80 | ر.س12.54 -2.0% | 12.4% | ر.س15.05 | ر.س8.70 | ر.س12.94 | 11 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س11.24 | ر.س12.39 +10.3% | 13.2% | ر.س15.00 | ر.س8.70 | ر.س13.34 | 11 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س10.52 | ر.س12.59 +19.7% | 13.6% | ر.س15.00 | ر.س8.70 | ر.س13.50 | 11 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س10.48 | ر.س12.65 +20.7% | 12.9% | ر.س15.00 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س13.18 | 11 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س11.56 | ر.س12.87 +11.4% | 12.0% | ر.س15.05 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س12.60 | 10 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س11.40 | ر.س12.37 +8.6% | 11.3% | ر.س14.50 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س13.00 | 11 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س12.34 | ر.س12.37 +0.3% | 11.3% | ر.س14.50 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س13.54 | 11 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س12.48 | ر.س12.19 -2.3% | 11.5% | ر.س13.90 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س14.56 | 10 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س11.66 | ر.س11.72 +0.5% | 10.7% | ر.س13.50 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س14.84 | 10 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س10.32 | ر.س11.77 +14.1% | 11.2% | ر.س13.50 | ر.س9.00 | n/a | 10 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س11.16 | ر.س11.55 +3.5% | 9.6% | ر.س13.50 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س13.70 | 11 |
| May ’23 | ر.س11.18 | ر.س11.62 +3.9% | 9.5% | ر.س13.50 | ر.س9.00 | ر.س14.20 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.