Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company

SASE:4001 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س9.6b

Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Valuation

Is 4001 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4001 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ر.س19.54
Fair Value
45.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4001 (SAR10.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR19.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4001 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4001?

Key metric: As 4001 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4001. This is calculated by dividing 4001's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4001's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.8x
Earningsر.س405.56m
Market Capر.س9.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4001's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4001 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
4161 BinDawood Holding
26.5x12.4%ر.س7.6b
4163 Al-Dawaa Medical Services
18.5x11.7%ر.س6.6b
4162 Almunajem Foods
20.3xn/aر.س6.1b
4164 Nahdi Medical
18.6x6.1%ر.س15.5b
4001 Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets
23.8x6.0%ر.س9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4001's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4001 23.8xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies37PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4001's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4001 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.8x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4001 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س10.72
ر.س12.19
+13.7%
17.0%ر.س17.00ر.س9.50n/a10
Jan ’26ر.س10.56
ر.س12.40
+17.4%
16.3%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a10
Dec ’25ر.س11.00
ر.س12.37
+12.5%
16.7%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a10
Nov ’25ر.س11.80
ر.س12.70
+7.6%
16.7%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a11
Oct ’25ر.س12.00
ر.س12.70
+5.8%
16.7%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a11
Sep ’25ر.س11.60
ر.س13.08
+12.8%
14.9%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a12
Aug ’25ر.س11.70
ر.س13.53
+15.6%
14.6%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a12
Jul ’25ر.س11.34
ر.س13.65
+20.4%
14.0%ر.س17.00ر.س9.90n/a13
Jun ’25ر.س11.24
ر.س14.13
+25.7%
10.6%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a13
May ’25ر.س12.68
ر.س14.16
+11.7%
10.6%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a13
Apr ’25ر.س12.94
ر.س14.09
+8.9%
10.9%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a12
Mar ’25ر.س13.34
ر.س14.07
+5.4%
11.0%ر.س17.00ر.س10.00n/a12
Feb ’25ر.س13.50
ر.س13.70
+1.5%
9.8%ر.س15.10ر.س10.00ر.س10.7011
Jan ’25ر.س13.18
ر.س13.63
+3.4%
10.0%ر.س15.10ر.س9.70ر.س10.5612
Dec ’24ر.س12.60
ر.س13.72
+8.9%
10.9%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.0012
Nov ’24ر.س13.00
ر.س13.62
+4.7%
11.8%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.8012
Oct ’24ر.س13.54
ر.س13.62
+0.6%
11.8%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س12.0012
Sep ’24ر.س14.56
ر.س13.58
-6.8%
11.8%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.6012
Aug ’24ر.س14.84
ر.س12.84
-13.5%
14.3%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.7012
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س12.84
0%
14.3%ر.س16.20ر.س9.70ر.س11.3412
Jun ’24ر.س13.70
ر.س12.92
-5.7%
11.9%ر.س14.90ر.س9.70ر.س11.2411
May ’24ر.س14.20
ر.س12.59
-11.4%
12.5%ر.س15.05ر.س8.70ر.س12.6811
Apr ’24ر.س12.80
ر.س12.54
-2.0%
12.4%ر.س15.05ر.س8.70ر.س12.9411
Mar ’24ر.س11.24
ر.س12.39
+10.3%
13.2%ر.س15.00ر.س8.70ر.س13.3411
Feb ’24ر.س10.52
ر.س12.59
+19.7%
13.6%ر.س15.00ر.س8.70ر.س13.5011
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
ر.س12.19
Fair Value
12.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 23:11
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company is covered by 22 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Imen Ben AhmedAlphaMena
Kais KriaaAlphaMena