BinDawood Holding Company

SASE:4161 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س8.4b

BinDawood Holding Valuation

Is 4161 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4161 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4161 (SAR7.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR11.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4161 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4161?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4161 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.9x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4161's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4161 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
4001 Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets
21.2x10.2%ر.س10.3b
4163 Al-Dawaa Medical Services
21.8x13.5%ر.س7.6b
4162 Almunajem Foods
20.3xn/aر.س6.4b
4164 Nahdi Medical
19.7x7.9%ر.س17.4b
4161 BinDawood Holding
29.3x10.1%ر.س8.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4161 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4161's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4161 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4161's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4161 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.3x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4161 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4161 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س7.31
ر.س7.97
+9.1%
10.5%ر.س9.50ر.س6.50n/a8
Jul ’25ر.س7.38
ر.س8.01
+8.6%
10.8%ر.س9.50ر.س6.50n/a8
Jun ’25ر.س7.67
ر.س7.85
+2.4%
12.0%ر.س9.50ر.س6.20n/a9
May ’25ر.س9.33
ر.س6.90
-26.1%
16.2%ر.س8.71ر.س5.10n/a7
Apr ’25ر.س8.80
ر.س6.53
-25.8%
17.8%ر.س8.71ر.س5.10n/a6
Mar ’25ر.س7.14
ر.س6.51
-8.8%
13.7%ر.س8.03ر.س5.10n/a7
Feb ’25ر.س6.50
ر.س6.51
+0.2%
13.7%ر.س8.03ر.س5.10n/a7
Jan ’25ر.س6.17
ر.س6.50
+5.3%
13.9%ر.س8.03ر.س5.10n/a8
Dec ’24ر.س6.00
ر.س6.43
+7.1%
16.1%ر.س8.03ر.س4.50n/a8
Nov ’24ر.س6.03
ر.س6.54
+8.4%
20.2%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50n/a7
Oct ’24ر.س6.21
ر.س6.51
+4.8%
19.8%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50n/a7
Sep ’24ر.س6.19
ر.س6.72
+8.6%
18.2%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50n/a7
Aug ’24ر.س6.82
ر.س6.60
-3.3%
19.6%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50n/a7
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س6.60
0%
19.6%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50ر.س7.387
Jun ’24ر.س6.60
ر.س6.41
-2.9%
19.0%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50ر.س7.678
May ’24ر.س7.20
ر.س6.39
-11.2%
19.0%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50ر.س9.338
Apr ’24ر.س6.59
ر.س6.44
-2.2%
19.8%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50ر.س8.808
Mar ’24ر.س5.50
ر.س6.44
+17.2%
19.8%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50ر.س7.148
Feb ’24ر.س6.04
ر.س6.44
+6.7%
19.8%ر.س8.45ر.س4.50ر.س6.508
Jan ’24ر.س4.80
ر.س7.04
+46.7%
19.1%ر.س8.60ر.س4.50ر.س6.178
Dec ’23ر.س5.18
ر.س7.35
+41.9%
13.0%ر.س8.60ر.س6.00ر.س6.008
Nov ’23ر.س6.28
ر.س9.42
+50.0%
15.7%ر.س12.55ر.س7.60ر.س6.039
Oct ’23ر.س6.80
ر.س9.97
+46.7%
15.6%ر.س12.55ر.س7.60ر.س6.219
Sep ’23ر.س8.20
ر.س10.52
+28.2%
12.5%ر.س12.55ر.س8.50ر.س6.197
Aug ’23ر.س8.72
ر.س10.84
+24.4%
9.5%ر.س12.55ر.س9.30ر.س6.827
Jul ’23ر.س9.00
ر.س10.55
+17.2%
11.7%ر.س12.55ر.س8.50n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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