Stock Analysis

BinDawood Holding Company (TADAWUL:4161) Stock Rockets 25% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SASE:4161
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BinDawood Holding Company (TADAWUL:4161) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 29% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, BinDawood Holding may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.8x, since almost half of all companies in Saudi Arabia have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, BinDawood Holding has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for BinDawood Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SASE:4161 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on BinDawood Holding.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like BinDawood Holding's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 195%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 58% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 17% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that BinDawood Holding's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shares in BinDawood Holding have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of BinDawood Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware BinDawood Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether BinDawood Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.